Horse Laugh Time

Horse laughing

Bashing index funds is a popular theme, but do the criticisms have value?
There are reasons to prefer index funds (now 18% of funds):

  1. Supported by academic research.
  2. Supported by history.
  3. Most active managers don’t beat the index.
  4. Index funds have tax advantages and lower fees.

​A well-meaning blogger touts the CGM Focus Fund as being spectacularly better than the S&P 500.  Let’s give him credit for courage, and then demolish his ideas.

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The Smart Penny #2:  Coins that Predict the Future

Coin being flipped

By the end of this post, if you aren’t convinced, I’ll sell you my “smart penny” which correctly predicted whether a stock would go up or down for ten days straight.  If you buy the penny, which I will try very hard to persuade you not to do, I’ll get a new batch of pennies and start flipping, If I have about a thousand pennies, one of them is likely to “predict” ten stock results, just by the law of averages.

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